Join RM and the Monterey Initiative in Russian Studies for an online debate between Timothy Ash and Trita Parsi on the costs and benefits of the United States support for Ukraine. Several ways in which Ukraine likely has an advantage are difficult to quantify, such as foreign military aid, morale, military leadership and information war, while Russian strengths like concrete territorial control are easier. Editorial Guidelines and Publishing Standards. Technology. So, when an enemy shot hits a vulnerable spot -- such as the top part of the tank, where the armor is thinner -- the ring of ammunition can explode and start a chain reaction that vaporizes the crew and blasts the turret off the tank's hull. Russia is losing proportionally more of its more modern than its older tank models. Kate Davidson is a researcher with the Avoiding Great Power War Projectat theBelferCenter for Science and International Affairs. He regularly writes about military hardware, firearms history, cybersecurity, politics, and international affairs. But its relative rarity and technological sophistication has not saved it from Ukrainian attacks. Some of this is because of government propaganda, and Ukraine has been especially skillful in publicizing its case. For example, the T-72B3 dating from 2010 and T-72B3 Obr. Russia: 800,000 emigrated for economic or political reasons, 0.6% of Russian population. Though it could take a while for those Western tanks to reach the frontlines, they could arrive long before Russia can replenish its own stocks. Video of strikes on Russian tanks by Ukrainian Air Assault artillery and engineers (presumably this means the use of mines). According to the open-source database Oryx, Russia has lost 1,183 tanks and 1,304 infantry fighting vehicles since its invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24. One factor is that todays MBTs are far more sophisticated than those employed in the Second World War, and are thus more complex to produce. Another factor is a shortage of key components, notably semiconductors, while the UralVagonZavod facility also hasnt been properly modernized due to a number of issues including financial mismanagement and debt. By Stijn Mitzer in collaboration with Joost Apr 1 #UkraineWar: Newly added Russian equipment losses: 1x Unknown tank (destroyed) 1x BMP-1Khs AFV (captured) 1x GAZ Full list: oryxspioenkop.com. Russia has reportedly lost more than 650 tanks and about 3,000 other armored vehicles and heavy equipment so far in its invasion of Ukraine. Photo bywww.mil.gov.ua shared under a Creative Commons license. Russia: 200,000 killed and severely wounded. For other uses, see, "Russia Is Exaggerating Ukraine's Military Losses", "Russia loses dozens of unmanned aircraft in Ukraine", "The Taliban is flaunting captured U.S. weapons that may be worth billions", "Observing the battlefields of the world with "Oryx Blog", "Appraising the War in Ukraine and Likely Outcomes", "Russia's tanks in Ukraine have a 'jack-in-the-box' design flaw. Total territory occupied by Russia at some point since Feb. 24, 2022: 54,000 square miles. that Russia is losing around 150 tanks monthly. #UkraineRussiaWar: The Russian Army is now visually confirmed to have lost at least 1500 vehicles and other pieces of (heavy) military equipment since it began A Senior Editor for 19FortyFive, Peter Suciu is a Michigan-based writer. A social-media post about the apparent feat included praise for US-provided Javelin missiles. Russia lost 550 military personnel in Ukraine between Monday and Tuesday A total of 149,240 Russian casualties have been recorded in the war Russian losses These will not only be of interest to Ukraines Western partners (especially the United States), but studying these systems may help the Ukrainians to counteract Russian electronic warfare efforts more effectively. List Of Aircraft Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of #Ukraine Russian losses at Saky airbase updated with: - 4 Su-30SM multirole aircraft (destroyed) - 6 Su-24M/MR strike/tactical reconnaissance aircraft (5, destroyed, 1x damaged) Russian units can cause a lot of damage, but effective Ukrainian tactics paired with anti-tank weapons provided by the West have dealt Russia a massive blow. This has included tankers bunching up on narrow roads, and driving across open fields unprotected by supporting infantry. If these numbers are correct, then the Ukrainian military should have ceased to exist as an effective combat organization. Civilian fatalities 3. (The 4th Guards Tank Division is the only unit that operates this model.). In the early days of the war, columns of Russian armor became jammed up along Ukrainian highways, allowing Ukrainian infantry to pick off tanks and other vehicles using a range of portable, shoulder-fired anti-tank weapons. These numbers are just the Russian losses that have been visually confirmed; the actual figures are probably much higher. Russias failure to find an answer to modern anti-tank weaponry brings the future of Russias long-term reliance on tanks in warfare into question, according to Lewis. In its war in Ukraine, Russias losses are outpacing production by a factor of 10. to be 2,800 strong with another 10,000 in storage consists mostly of modernized Soviet tanks manned by crews of three. However, Oryx concedes that because its analysis is limited to photographic evidence of Russian and Ukrainian losses, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here.. But it could not independently confirm that account. Ukraine: 130,000+ killed and severely wounded. These systems could also be turned back against their original owners once the Ukrainians have studied them. On April 2, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that since the special military operation that began on February 24, Russian forces have destroyed 125 planes, 88 helicopters, 381 unmanned aerial vehicles, 1,888 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 205 multiple launch rocket systems, 793 field artillery guns and mortars, and 1,771 special military motor vehicles (probably trucks and other utility vehicles). Russia has lost an estimated 900 tanks since the beginning of the war in Ukraine on February 24. [7], The blog gained international prominence through its work during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, counting and keeping track of material losses based on visual evidence and open-source intelligence from social media. Russias sophisticated vehicles will be difficult to replace, given Western import restrictions. And Ukrainian officials on Monday evening estimated that more than 15,000 Russian soldiers have been killed, a number close to the official estimates of Soviet soldiers killed in the decade-long war in Afghanistan. This is a BETA experience. [6] Mitzer and Oliemans have also written two books on the Korean People's Army. Photographic evidence collected in Ukraine shows that the Russian military has lost some 5,000 military vehicles since the beginning of the war on February 24. The losses were so great, even, that the team at Oryx became overwhelmed. You could pick almost any military in the world including the U.K., France and Germany and these losses would exceed their total inventories. All of this has resulted in the Kremlin becoming increasingly reliant on restoring older tanks, Business Insider reported. Number of MRLSs lost by Russia and Ukraine (as of Dec. 21, 2022) Oryxs data only includes equipment losses that have been verified by available photo and Ukraine on Friday is admitting to have suffered "serious losses" in battles in the countrys east, but added that Russias are "colossal". Russia lost 550 military personnel in Ukraine between Monday and Tuesday. List Of Aircraft Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of #Ukraine Russian losses at Saky airbase updated with: - 4 Su-30SM multirole aircraft (destroyed) - 6 Su-24M/MR strike/tactical reconnaissance aircraft (5, destroyed, 1x damaged) oryxspioenkop.com List Of Aircraft Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine The Economist reported this week that the Kremlin can at best produce around 20 Image Credit: Social Media Screenshot. Newsweek has reached out to the Russian Ministry of Defense for comment. (Photo [+] by Chris McGrath/Getty Images), As for Russian losses, the Russian military has lost 2,453 armored vehicles (including 425 tanks), 186 artillery pieces, 20 aircraft and 38 helicopters, according to Oryx. In the air, Russia has not fared much better, losing significant numbers of its most sophisticated and notionally most capable fixed and rotary-wing platforms. Since Ukraine is a former Soviet bloc state, its soldiers also have the advantage of familiarity with the operation of used Russian tanks, meaning that Ukrainian crews can often just repaint them and start using them immediately. The Russian Army operates through self-contained combat units known as battalion tactical groups (BTGs), composed of tanks, infantry, and artillery. The open-source intelligence platform Oryx has estimated that Russia is losing about 150 tanks a month, while the Economist report said its sole factory producing them could make only 20 in that time. But it turned out the Luftwaffe was claiming triple the number of British fighters actually destroyed. She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. Theyve also lost at least 16 Ka-52 Alligator attack helicopters, their most sophisticated and most recent rotary-wing aircraft. In addition, Russia says it has eliminated 793 field artillery pieces and heavy mortars. Photographic evidence collected in Ukraine shows that the Russian military has lost some 5,000 military vehicles since the beginning of the war on February 24. The Ukrainians have also captured a large number of sophisticated Russian electronic warfare systems. And US and Ukrainian officials have since claimed that Russia has suffered 10, 20 or 30 times as many casualties, claiming that Russian losses could rival the wars in Chechnya or Afghanistan. The open-source intelligence platform Oryx has placed the numbers a bit lower but still reports that Russia is losing around 150 tanks monthly. The ultimate question is whether the Kremlin itself believes that Russian kill counts are accurate. standing in front of the charred remains of one such tank. They have also used sandbags, pine logs and metal cages to reinforce their vehicles, according to photos and videos published online. Visually confirmed Russian Army equipment losses suffered in Ukraine now exceed 500 In seven days the Russian Army has already lost more equipment than the Azerbaijani Army did after 44 days of conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh in 2020. With little official information, journalists have had to sift through local funeral announcements or search out morgue directors for clues as to the Russian death toll, while officials have accused anyone covering the topic of disinformation. In such cases, the subsequent explosion can send the turret shooting tens of meters into the air. According to recent estimates from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, Russia has already lost nearly 3,400 MBTs along with more than 6,600 armored combat vehicles. These will not only be of interest to Ukraines Western partners (especially the United States), but studying these systems may help the Ukrainians to counteract Russian electronic warfare efforts more effectively. In a bid to protect themselves against drone attacks and anti-tank missiles, Russian troops in Ukraine have added a number of makeshift cages to the tops of tanks. The open-source intelligence platform Oryx has placed the numbers a bit lower but still reports that Russia is losing around 150 tanks monthly. [4][5] Oliemans also worked for Janes Information Services, a British open-source military intelligence company. Screenshots and archived versions of the deleted report quickly went viral, as critics pointed to the article as evidence that the Kremlin was suffering catastrophic losses in the month-old war. Many Russian tanks are fitted with a reactive armor designed to absorb the impact of missiles. A man rides his bike past a destroyed Russian tank on March 30, 2022 in Trostyanets, Ukraine. Russia is claiming more than 50 percent destruction of Ukrainian military equipment in multiple categories, including tanks and artillery. Russia has lost 237 T-72B3 tanks, hundreds more T-72 variants as well as at least 170T-80 models since the start of the attack on Ukraine in February, according to Oryx, an intelligence blog that tracks Russian military losses. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. In April, CNN reported that Western militaries had known for years about a design flaw within Russian tanks called the "jack-in-the-box effect," which makes the vehicles highly susceptible to catch fire and explode. Moscow's inability to repair its damaged tanks. Russian forces have apparently not learned from past mistakes on the battlefield, and as a result, losses have continued to mount. Insider was unable to independently verify the tank claims, but one still from the footage posted by the Ukraine defense ministry appeared to show two distinctive hill formations resembling those that appear in and around Marinka when viewed in Google Earth. But the real numbers suggest that Russia is far from victory. Ukraine: 13.4 million displaced Ukrainians, 31% of Ukrainian pre-invasion population of 44 million. U.K. Defense Secretary Ben Wallace, in May that the sight of these tanks was nothing short of tragic., Tank Losses in Ukraine Raise Strategic Questions for Russia. Indeed, any numbers on casualties especially in the middle of a war should be treated with caution. Oryx. Calculating Ukraines pre-war inventory of weapons can be a little tricky, depending on how various items are classified. Russias rapid rate of attrition has led some observers to question whether the tank has a future in modern warfare at all. as well as other partner offers and accept our. Your email address will not be published. WebThis graph, however, highlights the challenges Ukraine still faces. You may opt-out by. Area equivalent to Connecticut and Rhode Island combined. In its war in Ukraine, Russias losses are outpacing production by a factor of 10. You can follow him on Twitter: @PeterSuciu. Russia: 200,000 killed and severely wounded. In theory, tanks should be supported by infantry and artillery that are able to locate and destroy enemy soldiers armed with anti-tank weapons. #UkraineWar: Newly added Russian equipment losses: 1x Mi-28 attack helicopter (destroyed) 1x T-80BV MBT (destroyed) 5x T-72B MBT (destroyed) 2x 1. Fortune magazine estimated that the facility employs some 30,000 workers but it is still struggling to produce more than a dozen tanks. They have also used sandbags, pine logs and metal cages to reinforce their vehicles, according to photos and videos published online. An army that loses two-thirds of its tanks and other heavy weapons would be considered functionally eliminated until it received rest and replacements. The T-72B3, a more mobile version of the Soviet T-72, makes up the backbone of Russias tank fleet and has been heavily relied on in Ukraine. Yet the IISS lists Ukraine as having 1,462 artillery pieces in 2021, including 607 self-propelled howitzers (plus up to 83 more in mothballs), 515 towed howitzers and 340 120-millimeter mortars. The T-72B3, a more mobile version of the Soviet T-72, makes up the backbone of Russias tank fleet and has been heavily relied on in Ukraine. A destroyed Russian T-90M tank in Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia region. Ukraine's defense ministry says eight Russian armored vehicles lie smoldering thanks to one soldier. A Russian tank lies destroyed in a field on October 13, 2022 near Izyum, Kharkiv oblast, Ukraine. Other weapons have proven highly effective against Russian equipment. Carlos Coelho is adata andgraphics editorfor RFE/RL's Central Newsroom. KEY POINTS. This includes 858 tanks, 547 armored reconnaissance vehicles, 1,184 infantry fighting vehicles, 622 armored personnel carriers, 30 air-droppable combat vehicles, and 50 armored utility vehicles. While destroying a tank does not mean the crew is killed, there has also been a high rate of casualties among Russian tank crews. However, in the coming weeks and months, Western MBTs including the German-made Leopard 2 and British Challenger 2 could begin to arrive in Ukraine, while the U.S. has pledged to send at least 31 new M1 Abrams. KEY POINTS. F-35I: Israel Has a Stealth Fighter America Dreams Of, The Donald Trump vs. Ron DeSantis GOP War Has Begun, Two Words Donald Trump Hopes Will Get Him Back Into the White House, The Great Donald Trump Comeback Has Begun. Analysts have warned about taking that information at face value during a war where western countries want to emphasise the toll of the war on the Russian military while the Kremlin wants to downplay its losses. Russia lost 550 military personnel in Ukraine between Monday and Tuesday. Russia and Ukraine were part of the 15 Soviet republics that made up the Soviet Union. Soviet era T-62s, a tank which entered service in 1961. being transported across Russia, presumably on their way to the battlefield. As for the equipment that was lost in combat, the war in Ukraine has exposed fundamental design flaws and outdated or inferior-quality materials in Russian equipment: Tank turrets that were blown off and now lie in ruins several meters from the rubble of the exploded tank point to a design issue known as the "Jack-in-the-box" flaw. According to Oryx, at least 12 Sukhoi Su-34 strike aircraft have been destroyed. Russia has reportedly lost more than 650 tanks and about 3,000 other armored vehicles and heavy equipment so far in its invasion of Ukraine. Other criteria which may be even more important (about which we continue to search for reliable indicators). They claim they destroyed nine Russian tanks.https://t.co/Ww2NUGzL5G pic.twitter.com/Sp2jl9rFJ0. In the air, Russia has not fared much better, losing significant numbers of its most sophisticated and notionally most capable fixed and rotary-wing platforms. Expert Biography: A Senior Editor for 1945, Peter Suciu is a Michigan-based writer who has contributed to more than four dozen magazines, newspapers, and websites with over 3,000 published pieces over a twenty-year career in journalism. It said that supporting artillery destroyed a further four BMPs. Russian tank losses in Ukraine have passed 1,000, according to the Oryx intelligence blog that tracks equipment losses in the fighting, highlighting the attrition [8][9][10] It has been regularly cited in major media, including Reuters,[11] BBC News,[12] The Guardian,[13] The Economist,[14] Newsweek,[15] CNN,[9] and CBS News. Russian Tank Losses in Ukraine Exceed Production Capacity: In wartime, it is often impossible for any military to replenish its losses quickly enough. U.K. Defense Secretary Ben Wallace said in May that the sight of these tanks was nothing short of tragic.. Tanks are supposed to fight as part of combined formations, but in terms of how they've been tactically used, Russia hasnt done that effectively, said Nick Reynolds, a military expert at the London-based Royal United Services Institute. Out of the 664 tanks that Russia has lost in Ukraine, 283 were abandoned or captured. Many of the T-80 tanks that were captured by the Ukrainians in the early days of the war apparently simply ran out of fuel. But throughout history, the biggest problem has been the proverbial fog of war. There have been many instances of Ukrainian soldiers taking captured Russian vehicles and upgrading them themselves; for example, adding thermal sights, extra armor and even Starlink satellite internet to captured BTR-82 armored personnel carriers, or by bolting an MT-12 anti-tank gun to the roof of a captured MT-LB armored personnel carrier, turning it into a makeshift but effective tank destroyer. If Russia has destroyed 1,888 of them, that would be a loss rate of 57 percent. When the sheer scale of Russian tanks are considered (13,300 vs. 2,100 for Ukraine), the steep Russian losses Ukraine: 130,000+ killed and severely wounded. Russia has lost 237 T-72B3 tanks, hundreds more T-72 variants as well as at least 170 T-80 models since the start of the attack on Ukraine in February, a ccording to That report was based on soldiers whom it could confirm by first and last name had been killed in the fighting. Information war: with US/Europe; with world, Maps and territorial estimates based on data from: Russian Campaign Assessments,. Was that enemy tank really destroyed, or just damaged enough to be towed away and repaired? The available quantitative data paints a picture more favorable to Russia than the reality. It quoted one employee of the Homel regional clinical hospital, who said that more than 2,500 soldiers corpses had been shipped from the Belarusian region back to Russia as of 13 March. Oryx, an open source intelligence website, has been collecting visual evidence of military equipment losses in Ukraine since Russia's invasion began on Shortly after the first T-90M was spotted in April, Ukrainian journalist Andriy Tsapliyenko posted images standing in front of the charred remains of one such tank. People used to say the best way to destroy a tank is to use another tank, but the new missiles make you wonder about that, said Lewis. According to Western military experts, Russian tanks are being destroyed because of a fatal design flaw in the vehicles where troops and ammunition share the same space. ", "The 'Ghost Of Kyiv,' Who Was Never Real, Just Got Killed In The Press", "Ukraine is Knocking Increasing Numbers of Russian Drones Out of the Sky with Help from Russian Corruption", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Oryx_(website)&oldid=1138721806, Information technology organisations based in the Netherlands, Short description is different from Wikidata, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 11 February 2023, at 06:40. Losses would exceed their total inventories far from victory made up the Soviet Union heavy.. Some point since Feb. 24, 2022 in Trostyanets, Ukraine other heavy would... For US-provided Javelin missiles tank really destroyed, or just damaged enough to towed. 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